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Gonzalo Lira on “Five Random Topics”

16375 Views March 16, 2022 Speeches, Statements and Interviews The Saker

Tagged
  • Gonzalo Lira

45 Comments

  1. A Nigerian Guy on March 16, 2022  ·  at 2:43 pm EST/EDT

    Retired Major General Bakshi of the Indian Army appears on Indian TV to assess the War in Ukraine

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5iaq-jw4F3M

    • Svend on March 16, 2022  ·  at 5:38 pm EST/EDT

      Excellent. Love the simple expressions.

      • Gianni on March 17, 2022  ·  at 5:35 am EST/EDT

        Mr. Lira,

        You really lay it all out there; masterly!

  2. sean the leprechaun on March 16, 2022  ·  at 2:43 pm EST/EDT

    Good to see this get its own billing. Great ‘fire’ side chat. Some really good insight, have been trying to figure him out, how when why, but in the vid he explains his double major, philosophy and Russian studies, and like he says front row seat to history unfolding before our eyes. His info on the base attack, very interesting. 30 cruise missiles, must have totally flattened the place….looking forward to Russia UAV vid, ground pics just don’t do it justice.

    Cheers M

    • Mr P on March 16, 2022  ·  at 2:58 pm EST/EDT

      The prospect mooted by the scholar of a US invasion of SA makes me speculate that the Saudi potentate may anticipate that…and presumably have a deal with Zone B militaries to prevent said invasion…bigbig showdown? As GL says,more or less, they’re going nuts.

    • AndrewK on March 16, 2022  ·  at 3:14 pm EST/EDT

      Good insight regarding these missles, indeed. That is very interesting about no warning from NATO of incoming salvo of missiles. I would like to hear some military expert picking up from there.
      Is that for real that Russia outgunned NATO by that margin?

      • sean the leprechaun on March 16, 2022  ·  at 3:40 pm EST/EDT

        Andrew, just wondering if you watched any vids from the soldiers that made it off the base after the attack. I think, kidding aside, that’s as close to a military expert as one needs. Front row seats.
        That no one, US esp, knew they were coming, lets play Knock Knock. Contrast that with the Sat pic of that very long, highly exposed, blah blah Russian column that renowned US military experts (no names mentioned) pontificated and expounded on for days…..did I mention blah blah. 30 cruise missiles hitting that base, no warning, you just know sphincters in Brussels are clenched….NATO is surrounded, they’re just still in the denial phase. They’ll get there.

        Cheers M

        Knock Knock
        Who’s there?
        Ivan
        Ivan who?
        Ivan to show you my friend, Kalibar.

      • Harry on March 16, 2022  ·  at 4:09 pm EST/EDT

        Yes.

        Russia is the world leader in a range of military technologies including missiles, guidance, radar, electronic warfare, propulsion systems. They have a considerable arsenal of modern weaponry for which NATO has no equivalents. At all.

        What NATO does have, is in many cases either outdated compared to similar Russian equipment, or based on outdated designs that are at the end of the road regarding if and how they can be further upgraded.

        Take a a look at some of the staple equipment in the US inventory for example:

        – M1 Abrams tank: original design is from the 70s. No successor in sight.
        – M2/M3 Bradley IFV/CFV: original design is from the 70s. No successor in sight.
        – the air force and navy air primarily consists of F15s, F16s, (70s designs), F18s (80s design)
        – their bomber fleet relies on B52s (50s design) and B1s (70s design)
        – All of their successors (the B2, the F35, and the F22 all failed to live up to expectations)
        – The standard US cruise missile is still the Tomahawk, which isn’t just outdated, it’s obsolete. Oh, and its an early 80s design. No viable successor in sight.
        – The navy still relies on the venerable Harpoon as its ASM (anti ship missile). It’s a completely obsolete 70s design. And guess what? No viable successor in sight.

        The rest of the NATO countries are almost universally worse of than the US is. They are not catching up to Russia in military design and technology, the gap is widening. For some reason, NATO countries have become largely incapable of producing cost-effective up to date modern high tech weapons systems.

        In a conventional war against Russia, NATO doesn’t stand a chance.

        • Dave Hansell on March 17, 2022  ·  at 5:23 am EST/EDT

          This explains why:

          https://www.harrowell.org.uk/blog/2018/01/31/in-the-eternal-inferno-fiends-torment-ronald-coase-with-the-fate-of-his-ideas/

    • Mythic Artist on March 17, 2022  ·  at 10:05 am EST/EDT

      He’s a filmmaker …

  3. Uncle Bob on March 16, 2022  ·  at 2:52 pm EST/EDT

    Some patriotic Russians release this about the Ukrainian elite:

    The main assets in Ukraine belong to politicians and oligarchs. Owning the media and administrative levers, they robbed the country and deceived the people. Below I have given from memory a list of a number of odious characters. None of the above took the gun in their hands, all took their relatives and withdrawn funds abroad. All of the above will gladly sacrifice the lives of ordinary Ukrainians in an attempt to stay at the feeder. At the same time, none of them risk anything.

    1. Zelensky V.A. – Parents and relatives of Zelensky and his wife fled abroad.

    2. Poroshenko P.A. — about a billion dollars in cash alone. The United States took it abroad. More than 2 billion dollars. is in foreign accounts. The children were taken to the UK.

    3. Kuchma L.D. , son-in-law of Kuchma Pinchuk V.M. – more than 3 billion is on foreign accounts in Italy, the USA and other countries. All relatives and Pinchuk himself fled abroad.

    4. Avakov A.B. – more than 2 billion US dollars and other countries. All relatives were taken abroad.

    5. Yermak A.B., Head of the President’s Office. About 1 billion dollars. is in foreign accounts. The family is in the UK.

    6. Timoshenko K.A., deputy. Head of the Office of the President – More than 1.5 billion dollars. USA withdrew to foreign accounts. The family fled to the UK.

    7. Lutsenko Yu.V. , former Prosecutor General of Ukraine. More than 800 million dollars withdrew to foreign accounts. He lives with his family in the UK.

    8. Yatsenyuk A.P. . former Prime Minister of Ukraine. More than 2 billion dollars. are in foreign accounts. Yatsenyuk and his family live in the United States. In Miami alone, he purchased 15 luxury cottages.

    9. Akhmetov R.L., oligarch. State of about 15 billion dollars. USA. Only in 2021 “earned” 6.5 billion dollars. on increasing utility tariffs, prices for electricity and energy carriers. The funds are located abroad. The family is abroad.

    10. Kolomoisky I.V. and Bogolyubov G.M., oligarchs. Cash more than 6 billion dollars. USA abroad. Families are abroad.

    11. Korban G.B. – a raider, an oligarch, the main culprit of the Ilovaisk cauldron and the death of thousands of military personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. More than 1.5 billion dollars. withdrew to foreign accounts, the family lives in Israel.

    12. Klitschko brothers (Vitaly and Vladimir), oligarchs. More than 2 billion dollars. The United States withdrew to foreign accounts. Families live in Germany and the USA.

    13. Yaroslavsky A.V. , oligarch. More than 1 billion dollars. The US is in overseas accounts. He and his family are in the UK.

    14. Kosyuk Yu.A. , oligarch owner of the Mironovsky Hleboproduct company. More than 1.6 billion dollars. The United States was taken abroad. All relatives were taken abroad.

    15. Turchinov A.V. , former I.O. President of Ukraine. More than a billion dollars in foreign accounts. The family fled abroad.

    16. Nalivaichenko V.A. , former chairman of the SBU. More than 500 million dollars. The US is in overseas accounts. The family lives in the USA.

    • simon crow on March 16, 2022  ·  at 3:47 pm EST/EDT

      Thanks Uncle Bob. Very, very impressive journalistic work here. Gotta love a wise uncle.
      It just underscores what President Putin has just said in his speech about the ruling elites in the west.
      Perhaps we may yet see them and their progeny hunted down and their wealth confiscated and returned to the good people of Ukraine.

    • Michael Petrovich on March 16, 2022  ·  at 4:16 pm EST/EDT

      this comment has been flagged as of little/no value (possibly troll) by the saker
      Thank you uncle Bob.

      A lot of Jewberg on the list i must say.

    • John1 on March 16, 2022  ·  at 5:42 pm EST/EDT

      Why would anyone with billions of dollars want to live in the UK of all places?

      • william williams on March 16, 2022  ·  at 8:46 pm EST/EDT

        I haven’t kept up with current UK tax laws, but at one time it was certainly possible to be a ‘non-domiciled’ resident in the UK and pay zero income tax rate; IIRC they modified that some years back to “near zero”.

    • Yoni Reinon on March 16, 2022  ·  at 6:48 pm EST/EDT

      Impressive. I am apalled to think of all those retards young uki soldiers dying for these soulless thugs.

  4. DisinfectantSunlight on March 16, 2022  ·  at 4:17 pm EST/EDT

    Even if Saudi Arabia wants to keep the Petrodollar alive with American gun pointed at its head, China with allies (SCO, EAEU, BRICS, BRI, ASIAN etc) who are the major consumers of Saudi oil (Not U.S. anymore) may insist on paying Yuan for oil. Yuan can be easily converted to gold in Shanghai exchange as a bonus for Saudis. I don’t see any way to avoid hot war between Saudi and U.S. especially when dollar reserve status is threatened, which is a matter of when, not if.
    Big question now must be in Chinese mind is what to do with more than Trillion dollar U.S Treasuries.
    We are indeed living history unfolding everyday.

  5. ann watson on March 16, 2022  ·  at 4:26 pm EST/EDT

    thanks for posting this – such an interesting guy

    It is such a disaster that Russia left their billions in the west – too bad.

    I guess Putin had to leave that creepy woman banker alone and let her prove to the Russian people who she is working for – even if Putin himself knew it all along.

    She should be put on trial and thrown in the dungeon

    • Thomas on March 16, 2022  ·  at 5:05 pm EST/EDT

      1. There are ways to offset the loss of seized foreign exchange, Russia has the tools
      2. If the Dollar and the Euro and the Yen will be hit by hyper inflation the loss will be less significant. The currencies of the future will have to be assets based and not created out of thin air.
      3. The theft sets an example: The flight from the Dollar will accelerate

    • Thomas on March 16, 2022  ·  at 5:07 pm EST/EDT

      I can’t believe that “the creepy woman” was in a position to act against Putin. The Russian Central Bank is state owned since around eight to ten years. You can find the relevant bill on kremlin.en.ru

  6. larry, dfh on March 16, 2022  ·  at 4:34 pm EST/EDT

    From the video of the meeting
    https://twitter.com/i/status/1503832968636248068
    it can e seen from the visiting delegation:
    -no ties, casual dress; they seem to have left in a hurry
    -the looks on their faces, the stone-cold stares, all look to be saying: ‘are you fucking kidding me?’
    Zelensky goes on chattering, and these heads-of-state look on in disbelief.

    • Bonami on March 16, 2022  ·  at 8:42 pm EST/EDT

      Think of them as vultures, that will get you close to the truth.

      I base that on this tweet (I apologize, I don’t know how to link to exact tweet, only to the site itself https://twitter.com/Karmabash
      BashKarma
      @Karmabash
      ·
      12h
      ⚡️Zelensky Office Leaks: The visit of the four European PMs to Ukraine was primarily over how to divide the Russian assets in their countries. PMs wanted to make sure Ukraine wouldn’t lay claim on too many of the seized assets as a way to pay for the damages.

  7. Theophilus on March 16, 2022  ·  at 5:15 pm EST/EDT

    Bearing in mind the history of Odessa since 2014, massacre etc, two things emerge – 1. they have to take it and 2. the Banderites are there and will defend it aided by US and UK technical experts if they have not already left.

  8. Andrew on March 16, 2022  ·  at 5:20 pm EST/EDT

    It is as though he summarises everything that has previously been said on this platform since 2014 in 35 minutes. Excellent. Bravo!

    • The Saker on March 16, 2022  ·  at 7:03 pm EST/EDT

      yes, I was also very favorably impressed by him

  9. gwizz on March 16, 2022  ·  at 7:23 pm EST/EDT

    Wasn’t Ukraine’s gold stolen on 2104. I’m sure the big guy was involved.

  10. Scorpion on March 16, 2022  ·  at 7:27 pm EST/EDT

    May be wrong but read years ago that Russian Central Bank is part of the Rothschild-BIS network in which case it is probably one of the main Atlanticist columns within Russian body politic.

    Also I wonder: if the funds are seized, maybe many obligations they would normally be used for – trade transactions etc. – will simply be let go. It’s just numbers, paper at some level. Meanwhile, they will build a new currency and new international trading system which will bleed the American-run networks into, if not irrelevancy then at least more normal scale, i.e. no more USD hegemony. A few hundred billion is a small price to pay for all that.

    Furthermore, Russia is giving the world a teaching moment about the moral turpitude of the West. Their theft of Russia’s billions is something that will have made thousands of very important people sit up and take notice. That theft has already probably cost the US several trillion and counting…..

  11. Serafin on March 16, 2022  ·  at 7:58 pm EST/EDT

    I’m somewhat worried about him. He’s in Kharkow. No doubt the SBU knows about his videos.

    • iR on March 17, 2022  ·  at 9:55 am EST/EDT

      A very brave man. Acting.

  12. monte george on March 16, 2022  ·  at 7:59 pm EST/EDT

    Re., failure of NATO air defense at Yavoriv: Option 3 = NATO command decided to give the clueless politicians a small taste of the danger which lurks, should they fail to curb their arrogance and back off. It seems unlikely that NATO defenses failed that badly due to inattentiveness or system/mechanical failure – someone may have let the missiles through ‘accidentally on purpose’. Better a small localized slaughter now than a world wide nuclear holocaust a month from now? It certainly did get everyone’s attention!

    • Dave Hansell on March 17, 2022  ·  at 9:03 am EST/EDT

      That is certainly one reasonable and valid possibility.

      Another possibility which occurs, given (as I understand the matter – and I could be in error) most of those casualties were mercenaries and therefore ‘expendable’, is that this provided an opportunity to analyse the RF electronic jamming capabilities with the objective of finding exploitable weaknesses?

      Although it also seems reasonable to observe that both possibilities are not mutually exclusive.

  13. Bente Petersen on March 16, 2022  ·  at 8:03 pm EST/EDT

    You are right… we are living in 2022 when the US the hegemon is collapsing and trying to take everyone down with them.. it is exciting, and dangerous… we could be dust within a week, all of us… but if we survive… and I think we will….

    We will have lived at the very time when at last the bloody colonialists fell… after 500 years or torturing mankind.

    Thanks for your briefings…. hope you survive Ukraine…

  14. Adam on March 16, 2022  ·  at 8:10 pm EST/EDT

    No, US most likely to conduct regime change in Saudi very soon. There are a lot of remaining old school Saudi clan who hate MBS and still believe in USD. In other words Saudi clan is ripe for family feud.

    • Dave Hansell on March 17, 2022  ·  at 9:05 am EST/EDT

      Colour Revolution possibly?

      Or US troops stationed in SA installing a more complaint puppet government?

  15. Peter S. on March 16, 2022  ·  at 8:46 pm EST/EDT

    So the infamous Gonzalo Lira is the Kharkov Man? I didn’t know that!

    Excellent distallation of the current situation and historic events, especially wrt the Saudi move. We are now finally seeing the transition to a new monetary system and hopefully multi-polar world. If the Empire here somehow regained humane and intelligent thought/actions, then it could happen without conflict.

    But history tells a different story so let’s see if Putin (and perhaps Beijing+Iran+…) have gamed this all out to an unexpected yet peaceful solution. Maybe the frozen reserve assets were left there as bait..To show the entire world that the USA can never be trusted.

    Great reporting in a very intelligent and cogent manner. Glad you’re on the scene here at The Saker..

  16. Ivil Kotchrnotzoff on March 16, 2022  ·  at 9:42 pm EST/EDT

    They stole Libya’ gold too if not Ukraine’. Russia DID move some of it just before this happened, maybe half(?).
    Unverified videos suggest the soldiers were threatened when they asked to leave the ranks.
    Only a handful of the missiles hit the target the rest were intercepted, I read.

    Best Map for Ukraine(or anywhere for that matter):
    https://duckduckgo.com/?t=ffab&q=Ukraine&ia=web&iaxm=maps&end=what%3AYavoriv%252C%2520Lviv%2520Oblast%252C%2520Ukraine&transport=drive&strict_bbox=0&bbox=50.93419526317476%2C20.927198579331275%2C48.94507065439106%2C25.84443232066849&metatoken=1

  17. Ugh... on March 16, 2022  ·  at 11:02 pm EST/EDT

    A beautiful mind. A pleasure to listen to. Thank you, Gonzalo Lira. Stay safe!

  18. Andres on March 16, 2022  ·  at 11:24 pm EST/EDT

    Invading Saudi Arabia may be comparable to opening a box full of worms. Even if the monarchy is easily defeated or subjugated, a breakup of the country in at least 2 pieces becomes very likely.

    The Eastern coast, where many refineries and a substantial proportion of the oil reserves lye, is predominately Shia. They may create an Islamic republic friendly to Iran and Irak, taking the oil outside the Dollar realm. Moreover, the Shia regions close to Yemen may be annexed by the Houthis. Not to mention the likely upheavals on emirates such as Bahrein, where a Sunni royal family reigns over a majority of Shia.

  19. Rodrigo on March 17, 2022  ·  at 12:08 am EST/EDT

    All foreign currency (apart from cash), including foreign exchange reserves, is ultimately held in foreign central banks. It is impossible to hold dollars, yen, yuan, pounds, euros or any other currency in the Russian Central Bank itself. If the Russian Central Bank has euros, it might be in a French bank to facilitate trade with France, but the euros actually reside in that French bank’s account in the European Central Bank. Likewise with pounds or dollars or any other currency. All so-called euro dollars are in the accounts of various European banks at the US Federal Reserve. The only way the Russian Central Bank could retain its western foreign currency reserves would be to sell its holdings, of say, dollars or euros or pounds or yen, for its own currency at the world market exchange rate. Or it could exchange its western foreign reserve holdings for yuan which would then be available in its account in the central Bank of China. Realistically this could only be done over time. If they tried to dump all foreign currency at once, the central banks would know what they were up to and simply freeze all large Russian exchange transactions. Gold is a different story. Venezuela’s gold was physically being held in London. Much of the world’s gold reserves is physically held in the underground vaults at the New York Fed. It is likely that virtually all of Russia’s gold is physically in Russia, so no losses there. I’ve attached a link that shows the location of Russia’s foreign exchange reserves by percentage. Just scroll down a bit. https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2022/02/27/russia-from-sanctions-to-slump/

  20. Lila Rajiva on March 17, 2022  ·  at 5:14 am EST/EDT

    https://lilarajiva.com/2022/03/17/youtube-bans-all-russian-state-owned-media-world-wide/

    Don’t know whether this will affect anyone posting independent videos that are objective but match Russian information. The ban is based on a policy against posting things that minimize violence that they claim occurred, so if you say the Mariupol hospital was not a civilian target and not so many people died maybe that falls within the ban too?

    • iR on March 17, 2022  ·  at 10:08 am EST/EDT

      Definitely. And to suggest they blew it up themself for propaganda purposes would be outragous. Let’s hope they didn’t stack it with people before doing it.

  21. TJ on March 17, 2022  ·  at 10:46 am EST/EDT

    The 3M-54 Kalibr cruise missies are terrain following and have a minimum flight height of 10m, so no, NATO don’t see them coming.

  22. rebecca allan on March 18, 2022  ·  at 10:31 pm EST/EDT

    BRICS. BRICS. BRICS.
    This has been the plan for a long time.

  23. Indian guy on March 20, 2022  ·  at 12:44 pm EST/EDT

    -it was reported in the Indian media yesterday that India will purchase 15 million barrels of Russian crude
    -Russia has offered India the rights to purchase oil fields and other energy assets abandoned by Western companies in the wake of sanctions
    -India, Russia & Belarus are also working on a deal for the purchase of Russian agricultural fertilizer & Uranium
    -the Indian Rupee-Rouble swap facility is in progress. It could very well be done, otherwise we would not have seen the crude oil numbers go from 3 mm to 6 mm to 15 mm in the space of 3 days
    -today, Iran also approached India set up a similar Rial-Rupee swap facility for Iranian oil & gas

  24. SET on April 02, 2022  ·  at 11:39 pm EST/EDT

    He’s been snatched, any word at all?

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